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ITF Asuncion: Marjorie Souza vs Justina Gonzalez Daniele

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Marjorie Souza

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.85	26.0%	$0.26	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.26

Odds

3.85

Implied

26.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marjorie Souza

Best: 26.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

25.5%

26.0%

Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele

Best: 74.5% on polymarket

▲+11.0%

Prediction market is 11.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.5%

63.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marjorie Souza

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.255

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.867 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.867

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.948 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.948

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+12.36%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Marjorie Souza (polymarket, $287) — not enough depth at $287

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marjorie Souzathin	polymarket	3.92	$287	$1124
Justina Maria Gonzalez Danielethin	kalshi	1.57	$714	$1124

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marjorie Souza

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 26.0% vs polymarket at 25.5%

Expected Value

+1.96%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (3.92) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $15
24h Volume: $15
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: $15

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $37
24h Volume: $37
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $37

Resolves: in 13d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jun 30, 2026, 5:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 22h · Jul 7, 2026, 5:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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