TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Bacau: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Robert Guna

Other · July 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Radu Mihai Papoe

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.18	84.5%	$0.85	+2.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.85

Odds

1.18

Implied

84.5%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Radu Mihai Papoe

Best: 84.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

84.5%

82.0%

Robert Guna

Best: 20.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

15.5%

20.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Radu Mihai Papoe

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.820

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.909 avg

+3.29% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.880

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.938

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.910 avg

+0.63% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.904

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Robert Guna (polymarket, $159) — slippage 97.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $346

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Radu Mihai Papoethin	kalshi	1.22	$841	$1026
Robert Gunathin	polymarket	6.45	$159	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Radu Mihai Papoe

Spread

2.5pp

polymarket at 84.5% vs kalshi at 82.0%

Expected Value

+3.05%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.22) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

13.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $569
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $420
24h Volume: $420
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $419

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Aug 1, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 8, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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