TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 42s ago

ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Alejandro Arcila vs Rodrigo Alujas

Other · July 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Alejandro Arcila

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.44	41.0%	$0.41	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+4.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.41

Odds

2.44

Implied

41.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alejandro Arcila

Best: 45.0% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

41.0%

45.0%

Rodrigo Alujas

Best: 59.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.0%

57.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alejandro Arcila

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.410

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.690 avg

+0.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.689

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.690

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.790 avg

+9.33% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.723

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alejandro Arcilathin	polymarket	2.44	$418	$1020
Rodrigo Alujasthin	kalshi	1.75	$582	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alejandro Arcila

Spread

4.0pp

kalshi at 45.0% vs polymarket at 41.0%

Expected Value

+9.76%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.44) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

6.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $426
24h Volume: $387
Liquidity: $7.5K
Open Interest: $317

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3.8K
24h Volume: $146
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3.0K

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jul 16, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Jul 23, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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