TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 54s ago

ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Arthur Bellegy vs Rodrigo Alujas

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Arthur Bellegy

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.13	32.0%	$0.32	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.17	31.5%	$0.32	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.32

Odds

3.13

Implied

32.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.32

Odds

3.17

Implied

31.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Arthur Bellegy

Best: 32.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

32.0%

31.5%

Rodrigo Alujas

Best: 68.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

68.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Arthur Bellegy

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.315

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.566 avg

+8.49% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.522

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.575

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.804 avg

+54.01% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.522

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $431

Arthur Bellegy (kalshi, $317) — slippage 9.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Arthur Bellegythin	kalshi	3.17	$317	$1005
Rodrigo Alujasthin	polymarket	1.47	$683	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Arthur Bellegy

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 32.0% vs kalshi at 31.5%

Expected Value

+1.59%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.17) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 14, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 21, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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