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ITF Bastia-Lucciana: Laurent Lokoli vs Matisse Martin

Other · July 9, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Laurent Lokoli

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.16	86.5%	$0.87	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.10	90.5%	$0.91	+4.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.87

Odds

1.16

Implied

86.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.91

Odds

1.10

Implied

90.5%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Laurent Lokoli

Best: 90.5% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

86.5%

90.5%

Matisse Martin

Best: 13.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.5%

11.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Laurent Lokoli

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.865

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.913 avg

+0.80% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.905

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.920

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.931 avg

+2.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.905

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $305

Matisse Martin (kalshi, $113) — slippage 175.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $34

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Laurent Lokolithin	polymarket	1.16	$887	$1026
Matisse Martinthin	kalshi	9.09	$113	$1025

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Laurent Lokoli

Spread

4.0pp

kalshi at 90.5% vs polymarket at 86.5%

Expected Value

+4.62%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.16) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $85
24h Volume: $85
Liquidity: $907
Open Interest: $85

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $44
24h Volume: $44
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $44

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jul 16, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jul 23, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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