TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Bolzano: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Adrian Andreev

Other · July 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Niccolo Ciavarella

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	8.33	12.0%	$0.12	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	7.69	13.0%	$0.13	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.12

Odds

8.33

Implied

12.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.13

Odds

7.69

Implied

13.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Niccolo Ciavarella

Best: 13.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.0%

12.0%

Adrian Andreev

Best: 87.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

87.0%

86.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Niccolo Ciavarella

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.120

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.366 avg

+55.55% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.235

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.392

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.655 avg

+178.42% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.235

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Niccolo Ciavarella (kalshi, $122) — slippage 18.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $147

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Niccolo Ciavarellathin	kalshi	8.33	$122	$1015
Adrian Andreevthin	kalshi	1.16	$878	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Niccolo Ciavarella

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 13.0% vs kalshi at 12.0%

Expected Value

+8.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (8.33) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.9K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $212
24h Volume: $212
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $212

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Aug 4, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 11, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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