TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Brasilia: Marjorie Souza vs Noelia Zeballos

Other · June 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Marjorie Souza

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.99	33.5%	$0.34	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.86	35.0%	$0.35	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.34

Odds

2.99

Implied

33.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.35

Odds

2.86

Implied

35.0%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marjorie Souza

Best: 35.0% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

35.0%

33.5%

Noelia Zeballos Melgar

Best: 65.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.0%

65.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marjorie Souza

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.335

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.764 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.764

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.873 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.873

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Marjorie Souza (kalshi, $340) — slippage 63.5% > 10% cap

Noelia Zeballos Melgar (polymarket, $660) — slippage 3.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marjorie Souzathin	kalshi	2.98	$340	$1015
Noelia Zeballos Melgarthin	polymarket	1.54	$660	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marjorie Souza

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 35.0% vs kalshi at 33.5%

Expected Value

+4.48%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.99) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $1.2K
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jun 13, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jun 20, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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