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Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Brisbane: Charlie Pade vs Harrison Satara

Other · July 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Charlie Pade

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.56	39.0%	$0.39	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.44	41.0%	$0.41	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.39

Odds

2.56

Implied

39.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.41

Odds

2.44

Implied

41.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Charlie Pade

Best: 41.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.0%

41.0%

Harrison Satara

Best: 59.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.5%

59.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Charlie Pade

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.390

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.469 avg

+6.70% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.439

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.475

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.747 avg

+70.03% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.439

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Charlie Pade (kalshi, $398) — slippage 6.9% — eats into edge

Harrison Satara (polymarket, $602) — slippage 2.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Charlie Padethin	kalshi	2.56	$398	$1020
Harrison Satarathin	polymarket	1.70	$602	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Charlie Pade

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 41.0% vs kalshi at 39.0%

Expected Value

+5.13%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.56) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Aug 5, 2026, 2:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 12, 2026, 2:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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