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ITF Brisbane: Taiki Takizawa vs Kosuke Ogura

Other · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Taiki Takizawa

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.03	33.0%	$0.33	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.90	34.5%	$0.35	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.33

Odds

3.03

Implied

33.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.35

Odds

2.90

Implied

34.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Taiki Takizawa

Best: 34.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

33.0%

34.5%

Kosuke Ogura

Best: 66.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

66.0%

65.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Taiki Takizawa

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.330

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.368 avg

+0.04% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.368

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.369

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.607 avg

+64.54% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.369

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Taiki Takizawa (kalshi, $335) — slippage 2.1% — eats into edge

Kosuke Ogura (polymarket, $665) — slippage 3.8% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Taiki Takizawathin	kalshi	3.03	$335	$1015
Kosuke Ogurathin	polymarket	1.53	$665	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Taiki Takizawa

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 34.5% vs kalshi at 33.0%

Expected Value

+4.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.03) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $715
24h Volume: $715
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $715

Resolves: in 14d 5h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $30
24h Volume: $30
Liquidity: $9.0K
Open Interest: $30

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 29, 2026, 1:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Aug 5, 2026, 12:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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