TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 51s ago

ITF Bucharest: Christopher Thies vs Lucian Stefan Andrei

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Christopher Thies

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.61	62.0%	$0.62	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.62

Odds

1.61

Implied

62.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Christopher Thies

Best: 62.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.0%

62.0%

Lucian Stefan Andrei

Best: 40.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.0%

38.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Christopher Thies

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.600

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.768 avg

+24.71% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.616

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.798

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.902 avg

+46.54% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.616

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $440

Lucian Stefan Andrei (kalshi, $388) — slippage 22.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $171

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Christopher Thiesthin	polymarket	1.67	$612	$1021
Lucian Stefan Andreithin	kalshi	2.63	$388	$1021

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Christopher Thies

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 62.0% vs polymarket at 60.0%

Expected Value

+3.33%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.67) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $57
24h Volume: $57
Liquidity: $2.6K
Open Interest: $57

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $4.5K
24h Volume: $4.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $4.4K

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 15, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 22, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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