TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Bucharest: Niccolo Ciavarella vs Ilya Snitari

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Niccolo Ciavarella

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.35	23.0%	$0.23	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.23

Odds

4.35

Implied

23.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Niccolo Ciavarella

Best: 23.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

23.0%

22.0%

Ilya Snitari

Best: 77.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

77.0%

77.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Niccolo Ciavarella

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.220

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.556 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.556

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.819 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.819

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $327

Niccolo Ciavarella (kalshi, $222) — slippage 53.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $73

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Niccolo Ciavarellathin	kalshi	4.54	$222	$1010
Ilya Snitarithin	polymarket	1.30	$778	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Niccolo Ciavarella

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 23.0% vs kalshi at 22.0%

Expected Value

+4.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.55) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $937
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 14, 2026, 9:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 21, 2026, 9:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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