TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 37s ago

ITF Caltanissetta: Luca Potenza vs Gabriele Piraino

Other · June 6, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Luca Potenza

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.45	29.0%	$0.29	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.51	28.5%	$0.29	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.29

Odds

3.45

Implied

29.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.29

Odds

3.51

Implied

28.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Luca Potenza

Best: 29.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

29.0%

28.5%

Gabriele Piraino

Best: 71.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

71.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Luca Potenza

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.285

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.661 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.661

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.887 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.887

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Luca Potenza (kalshi, $286) — slippage 55.7% > 10% cap

Gabriele Piraino (polymarket, $714) — slippage 3.9% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Luca Potenzathin	kalshi	3.51	$286	$1005
Gabriele Pirainothin	polymarket	1.41	$714	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Luca Potenza

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 29.0% vs kalshi at 28.5%

Expected Value

+1.75%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.51) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $737
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jun 13, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Jun 20, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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