TennisLIVE

Stale· updated 4m ago

ITF Castelo Branco: Pablo Perez Ramos vs Tiago Cacao

Other · July 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Pablo Perez Ramos

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.67	37.5%	$0.38	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.17	46.0%	$0.46	+8.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.38

Odds

2.67

Implied

37.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.46

Odds

2.17

Implied

46.0%

Edge

+8.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pablo Perez Ramos

Best: 46.0% on kalshi

▲+8.5%

Prediction market is 8.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

46.0%

Tiago Cacao

Best: 62.5% on polymarket

▲+9.0%

Prediction market is 9.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

53.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pablo Perez Ramos

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.375

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.709 avg

+1.54% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.699

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.720

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.794 avg

+11.53% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.712

Arbitrage Opportunity

+9.89%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $165

Pablo Perez Ramos (polymarket, $412) — slippage 2.7% — eats into edge

Tiago Cacao (kalshi, $588) — slippage 3.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pablo Perez Ramos	polymarket	2.67	$412	$1099
Tiago Cacaothin	kalshi	1.87	$588	$1099

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pablo Perez Ramos

Spread

8.5pp

kalshi at 46.0% vs polymarket at 37.5%

Expected Value

+22.67%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.67) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

13.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $2.0K
24h Volume: $2.0K
Liquidity: $45.4K
Open Interest: $1.5K

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $108.2K
24h Volume: $88.5K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $57.0K

Resolves: in 13d 22h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jul 26, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 13d 22h · Aug 2, 2026, 10:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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