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ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula

Other · June 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Julie Struplova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.38	72.5%	$0.73	+24.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.73

Odds

1.38

Implied

72.5%

Edge

+24.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Julie Struplova

Best: 72.5% on polymarket

▲+24.5%

Prediction market is 24.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

72.5%

48.0%

Martha Matoula

Best: 51.5% on kalshi

▲+24.0%

Prediction market is 24.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

51.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Julie Struplova

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.480

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.594 avg

+21.41% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.490

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.699

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.715 avg

+35.19% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.529

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+32.45%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $246

Martha Matoula (polymarket, $364) — slippage 6.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Julie Struplovathin	kalshi	2.08	$636	$1324
Martha Matoulathin	polymarket	3.64	$364	$1324

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Julie Struplova

Spread

24.5pp

polymarket at 72.5% vs kalshi at 48.0%

Expected Value

+51.04%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.08) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $184
24h Volume: $184
Liquidity: $4.6K
Open Interest: $179

Resolves: in 6d 21h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $22.7K
24h Volume: $21.4K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $13.5K

Resolves: in 13d 17h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 21h · Jun 18, 2026, 4:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 17h · Jun 25, 2026, 12:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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