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ITF Claremont: Paola Lopez vs Salma Ewing

Other · June 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Paola Lopez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	5.13	19.5%	$0.20	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.88	20.5%	$0.21	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.20

Odds

5.13

Implied

19.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.21

Odds

4.88

Implied

20.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Paola Lopez

Best: 20.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.5%

19.5%

Salma Ewing

Best: 81.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

79.5%

81.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Paola Lopez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.195

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.607 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.607

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.860 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.860

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $433

Paola Lopez (kalshi, $197) — slippage 22.7% > 10% cap — fillable up to $85

Salma Ewing (polymarket, $803) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Paola Lopezthin	kalshi	5.13	$197	$1010
Salma Ewingthin	polymarket	1.26	$803	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Paola Lopez

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 20.5% vs kalshi at 19.5%

Expected Value

+5.13%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.13) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $133
24h Volume: $133
Liquidity: $2.4K
Open Interest: $133

Resolves: in 7d 4h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 4h · Jul 2, 2026, 5:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 9, 2026, 5:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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