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ITF Cordenons: Nuria Brancaccio vs Laura Hietaranta

Other · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Nuria Brancaccio

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.22	82.0%	$0.82	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.19	84.0%	$0.84	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.82

Odds

1.22

Implied

82.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.84

Odds

1.19

Implied

84.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nuria Brancaccio

Best: 84.0% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.0%

84.0%

Laura Hietaranta

Best: 18.0% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

18.0%

15.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nuria Brancaccio

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.820

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.896 avg

+0.42% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.892

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.915

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.922 avg

+0.73% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.915

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nuria Brancaccio (polymarket, $841) — slippage 7.6% — eats into edge

Laura Hietaranta (kalshi, $159) — slippage 23.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $21

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nuria Brancacciothin	polymarket	1.22	$841	$1026
Laura Hietarantathin	kalshi	6.45	$159	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nuria Brancaccio

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 84.0% vs polymarket at 82.0%

Expected Value

+2.44%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.22) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

11.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $17
24h Volume: $17
Liquidity: $4.4K
Open Interest: $17

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $313
24h Volume: $313
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $313

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jul 28, 2026, 3:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Aug 4, 2026, 3:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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