TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Denia: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Pavel Lagutin

Other · July 25, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Carlos Lopez Montagud

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.15	46.5%	$0.47	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.11	47.5%	$0.48	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.47

Odds

2.15

Implied

46.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.48

Odds

2.11

Implied

47.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carlos Lopez Montagud

Best: 47.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.5%

46.5%

Pavel Lagutin

Best: 52.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.5%

51.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carlos Lopez Montagud

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.465

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.572 avg

+12.44% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.509

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.585

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.686 avg

+34.79% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.509

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Carlos Lopez Montagud (kalshi, $475) — slippage 5.0% — eats into edge

Pavel Lagutin (kalshi, $526) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carlos Lopez Montagudthin	kalshi	2.15	$475	$1021
Pavel Lagutinthin	kalshi	1.94	$526	$1021

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carlos Lopez Montagud

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 47.5% vs kalshi at 46.5%

Expected Value

+2.15%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.15) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $10
24h Volume: $10
Liquidity: $6.4K
Open Interest: $10

Resolves: in 7d 11h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 11h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 11h · Aug 1, 2026, 4:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 11h · Aug 8, 2026, 4:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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