TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Denia: Pavel Lagutin vs Lorenzo Angelini

Other · July 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Pavel Lagutin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.08	48.0%	$0.48	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	+4.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.48

Odds

2.08

Implied

48.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

+4.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Pavel Lagutin

Best: 52.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

52.5%

48.0%

Lorenzo Angelini

Best: 52.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

47.5%

52.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Pavel Lagutin

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.480

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.544 avg

+0.77% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.540

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.545

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.707 avg

+31.03% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.540

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Pavel Lagutin (kalshi, $503) — slippage 5.6% — eats into edge

Lorenzo Angelini (polymarket, $497) — slippage 6.1% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Pavel Lagutinthin	kalshi	2.08	$503	$1047
Lorenzo Angelinithin	polymarket	2.10	$497	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Pavel Lagutin

Spread

4.5pp

polymarket at 52.5% vs kalshi at 48.0%

Expected Value

+9.38%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.08) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

8.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $340
24h Volume: $340
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $340

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 31, 2026, 7:45 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 7, 2026, 7:45 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Related Events

Tennis

▲+15.0%

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Dusan Obradovic vs Elgin Khoeblal

Vol: $152.62

Tennis

▲+7.0%

ITF Bacau: Radu David Turcanu vs Tudor Batin

Vol: $112.07

Tennis

▲+6.0%

ITF Denia: Hernan Casanova vs Carlos Lopez Montagud

Vol: $22.625908

Tennis

▲+5.5%

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lorenzo Comino vs Kristijan Juhas

Vol: $23.11

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.