TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 54s ago

ITF Figueira Da Foz: Mario Gonzalez Fernandez vs Tiago Torres

Other · July 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.85	26.0%	$0.26	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.92	25.5%	$0.26	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.26

Odds

3.85

Implied

26.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.26

Odds

3.92

Implied

25.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Best: 26.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

26.0%

25.5%

Tiago Torres

Best: 77.0% on kalshi

▲+3.0%

Prediction market is 3.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

74.0%

77.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.255

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.611 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.611

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.829 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.829

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $535

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez (kalshi, $256) — slippage 85.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $137

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Mario Gonzalez Fernandezthin	kalshi	3.92	$256	$1005
Tiago Torresthin	polymarket	1.35	$744	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 26.0% vs kalshi at 25.5%

Expected Value

+1.96%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.92) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $10
24h Volume: $10
Liquidity: $2.9K
Open Interest: $10

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $22
24h Volume: $22
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $22

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 9, 2026, 11:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 16, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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