TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 59s ago

ITF Gandia: Carlos Lopez Montagud vs Luka Talan Lopatic

Other · July 15, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Carlos Lopez Montagud

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.80	55.5%	$0.56	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.41	71.0%	$0.71	+15.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.56

Odds

1.80

Implied

55.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.71

Odds

1.41

Implied

71.0%

Edge

+15.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carlos Lopez Montagud

Best: 71.0% on kalshi

▲+15.5%

Prediction market is 15.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

71.0%

Luka Talan Lopatic

Best: 44.5% on polymarket

▲+14.5%

Prediction market is 14.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

30.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carlos Lopez Montagud

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.555

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.712 avg

+0.38% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.710

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.715

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.828 avg

+10.51% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.749

Arbitrage Opportunity

+16.96%fillable risk-free returnEXECUTABLE

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carlos Lopez Montagudthin	polymarket	1.80	$649	$1170
Luka Talan Lopaticthin	kalshi	3.33	$351	$1170

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carlos Lopez Montagud

Spread

15.5pp

kalshi at 71.0% vs polymarket at 55.5%

Expected Value

+27.93%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.80) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $445
24h Volume: $435
Liquidity: $5.2K
Open Interest: $188

Resolves: in 6d 22h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $11.6K
24h Volume: $2.2K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $11.4K

Resolves: in 13d 21h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 22h · Jul 22, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 13d 21h · Jul 29, 2026, 7:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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