TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 21s ago

ITF Gdansk: Oriana Gniewkowska vs Amelia Paszun

Other · June 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Oriana Gniewkowska

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	7.41	13.5%	$0.14	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	6.25	16.0%	$0.16	+2.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.14

Odds

7.41

Implied

13.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.16

Odds

6.25

Implied

16.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Oriana Gniewkowska

Best: 16.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

13.5%

16.0%

Amelia Paszun

Best: 86.5% on polymarket

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

86.5%

82.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Oriana Gniewkowska

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.135

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.540 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.540

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.794 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.794

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.71%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Oriana Gniewkowska (polymarket, $141) — not enough depth at $141 — fillable up to $4

Amelia Paszun (kalshi, $859) — slippage 3.6% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Oriana Gniewkowskathin	polymarket	7.41	$141	$1047
Amelia Paszunthin	kalshi	1.22	$859	$1047

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Oriana Gniewkowska

Spread

2.5pp

kalshi at 16.0% vs polymarket at 13.5%

Expected Value

+18.52%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (7.41) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $24
24h Volume: $24
Liquidity: $398
Open Interest: $24

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jun 30, 2026, 1:15 PM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 7, 2026, 12:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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