TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 5m ago

ITF Gran Canaria: Laura Pigossi vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Other · July 31, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Laura Pigossi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.00	25.0%	$0.25	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	3.64	27.5%	$0.28	+2.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.25

Odds

4.00

Implied

25.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.28

Odds

3.64

Implied

27.5%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Laura Pigossi

Best: 27.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

27.5%

25.0%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia

Best: 74.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

72.5%

74.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Laura Pigossi

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.250

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.451 avg

+0.55% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.448

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.453

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.735 avg

+62.13% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.453

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $297

Laura Pigossi (kalshi, $256) — slippage 6.5% — eats into edge

Andrea Lazaro Garcia (polymarket, $744) — slippage 2.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Laura Pigossithin	kalshi	4.00	$256	$1026
Andrea Lazaro Garciathin	polymarket	1.38	$744	$1025

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Laura Pigossi

Spread

2.5pp

polymarket at 27.5% vs kalshi at 25.0%

Expected Value

+10.00%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.00) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $10.3K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $6
24h Volume: $6
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $6

Resolves: in 14d 10h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Aug 7, 2026, 10:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 10h · Aug 14, 2026, 10:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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