TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 57s ago

ITF Gubbio: Martin Van Der Meerschen vs Lorenzo Beraldo

Other · July 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Martin Van Der Meerschen

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.57	63.5%	$0.64	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.56	64.0%	$0.64	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.64

Odds

1.57

Implied

63.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.64

Odds

1.56

Implied

64.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Martin Van Der Meerschen

Best: 64.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.5%

64.0%

Lorenzo Beraldo

Best: 36.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

36.5%

34.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Martin Van Der Meerschen

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.635

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.689 avg

+2.50% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.672

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.692

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.777 avg

+15.69% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.672

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $470

Lorenzo Beraldo (kalshi, $349) — slippage 21.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $164

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Martin Van Der Meerschenthin	polymarket	1.57	$651	$1026
Lorenzo Beraldothin	kalshi	2.94	$349	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Martin Van Der Meerschen

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 64.0% vs polymarket at 63.5%

Expected Value

+0.79%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.57) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $4.1K
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 4h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jul 23, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 4h · Jul 30, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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