TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 45s ago

ITF Hillcrest: Filip Peliwo vs Chirag Duhan

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Filip Peliwo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.32	76.0%	$0.76	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.31	76.5%	$0.77	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.76

Odds

1.32

Implied

76.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.77

Odds

1.31

Implied

76.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Filip Peliwo

Best: 76.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

76.5%

76.0%

Chirag Duhan

Best: 23.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

23.5%

23.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Filip Peliwo

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.760

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.780 avg

+2.59% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.760

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.800

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.834 avg

+4.31% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.800

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $484

Chirag Duhan (kalshi, $232) — slippage 75.5% > 10% cap — fillable up to $112

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Filip Peliwothin	kalshi	1.32	$768	$1010
Chirag Duhanthin	kalshi	4.35	$232	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Filip Peliwo

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 76.5% vs kalshi at 76.0%

Expected Value

+0.66%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.32) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $41
24h Volume: $41
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $41

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 15, 2026, 7:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 22, 2026, 7:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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