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ITF Huamantla: Carolina Alonso vs Africa Guzman Garcia

Other · July 21, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0K

Platform Prices — Carolina Alonso

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.04	96.0%	$0.96	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.03	97.5%	$0.98	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.96

Odds

1.04

Implied

96.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.98

Odds

1.03

Implied

97.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Carolina Alonso

Best: 97.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

97.5%

96.0%

Africa Guzman Garcia

Best: 4.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

2.5%

4.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Carolina Alonso

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.960

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.971 avg

+0.15% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.970

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.979

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.973 avg

+0.02% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.973

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.57%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Africa Guzman Garcia (polymarket, $25) — slippage 300.2% > 10% cap — fillable up to $36

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Carolina Alonsothin	kalshi	1.04	$975	$1016
Africa Guzman Garciathin	polymarket	40.82	$25	$1016

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Carolina Alonso

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 97.5% vs kalshi at 96.0%

Expected Value

+1.61%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.04) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

25.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $133
24h Volume: $133
Liquidity: $2.5K
Open Interest: $133

Resolves: in 6d 23h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2.8K
24h Volume: $2.0K
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2.8K

Resolves: in 13d 23h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 6d 23h · Jul 28, 2026, 3:30 PM
kalshiin 13d 23h · Aug 4, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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