TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Huamantla: Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado vs Mwendwa Mbithi

Other · July 23, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.55	22.0%	$0.22	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.35	23.0%	$0.23	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.22

Odds

4.55

Implied

22.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.23

Odds

4.35

Implied

23.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

Best: 23.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

23.0%

22.0%

Mwendwa Mbithi

Best: 78.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

77.0%

78.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.220

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.411 avg

+50.56% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.273

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.439

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.715 avg

+161.93% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.273

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado (kalshi, $222) — slippage 11.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $1

Mwendwa Mbithi (polymarket, $778) — slippage 3.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tiradothin	kalshi	4.54	$222	$1010
Mwendwa Mbithithin	polymarket	1.30	$778	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 23.0% vs kalshi at 22.0%

Expected Value

+4.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.55) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $5.6K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 12h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 12h · Jul 30, 2026, 7:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Aug 6, 2026, 3:30 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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