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ITF Irvine: Bianca Molnar vs Monika Ekstrand

Other · June 18, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Bianca Molnar

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	5.13	19.5%	$0.20	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	4.65	21.5%	$0.22	+2.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.20

Odds

5.13

Implied

19.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.22

Odds

4.65

Implied

21.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Bianca Molnar

Best: 21.5% on kalshi

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.5%

21.5%

Monika Ekstrand

Best: 80.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.5%

79.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Bianca Molnar

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.195

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.301 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.301

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.382 avg

-0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.382

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Bianca Molnar (polymarket, $197) — not enough depth at $197 — fillable up to $8

Monika Ekstrand (kalshi, $803) — slippage 3.3% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Bianca Molnarthin	polymarket	5.13	$197	$1010
Monika Ekstrandthin	kalshi	1.26	$803	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Bianca Molnar

Spread

2.0pp

kalshi at 21.5% vs polymarket at 19.5%

Expected Value

+10.26%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (5.13) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $54
24h Volume: $54
Liquidity: $613
Open Interest: $54

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $2
24h Volume: $2
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jun 25, 2026, 8:15 PM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 2, 2026, 7:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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