TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kassel: Mariano Dedura-Palomero vs Lasse Poertner

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Mariano Dedura-Palomero

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.30	43.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.25	44.5%	$0.45	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.30

Implied

43.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Mariano Dedura-Palomero

Best: 44.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

44.5%

43.5%

Lasse Poertner

Best: 55.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.5%

55.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Mariano Dedura-Palomero

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.435

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.635 avg

+22.45% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.519

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.658

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.841 avg

+62.12% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.519

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $663

Mariano Dedura-Palomero (kalshi, $442) — slippage 8.5% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Mariano Dedura-Palomerothin	kalshi	2.30	$442	$1015
Lasse Poertnerthin	kalshi	1.82	$558	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Mariano Dedura-Palomero

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 44.5% vs kalshi at 43.5%

Expected Value

+2.30%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.30) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $6.1K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 22, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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