TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kassel: Michael Agwi vs Sydney Zick

Other · July 7, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Michael Agwi

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.57	63.5%	$0.64	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.64

Odds

1.57

Implied

63.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Michael Agwi

Best: 63.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

63.0%

63.5%

Sydney Zick

Best: 37.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.0%

36.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Michael Agwi

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.630

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.720 avg

+9.48% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.658

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.733

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.834 avg

+26.85% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.658

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Michael Agwi (polymarket, $633) — slippage 4.4% — eats into edge

Sydney Zick (kalshi, $367) — slippage 7.7% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Michael Agwithin	polymarket	1.59	$633	$1005
Sydney Zickthin	kalshi	2.74	$367	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Michael Agwi

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 63.5% vs polymarket at 63.0%

Expected Value

+0.79%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.59) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.4%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $539
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 14, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 21, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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