TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 52s ago

ITF Kassel: Michel Hopp vs David Fix

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Michel Hopp

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.69	59.0%	$0.59	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.65	60.5%	$0.61	+1.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.59

Odds

1.69

Implied

59.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.61

Odds

1.65

Implied

60.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Michel Hopp

Best: 60.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

60.5%

59.0%

David Fix

Best: 41.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

39.5%

41.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Michel Hopp

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.590

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.661 avg

+5.69% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.625

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.668

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.786 avg

+25.80% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.625

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

David Fix (polymarket, $401) — slippage 66.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $12

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Michel Hoppthin	kalshi	1.70	$599	$1015
David Fixthin	polymarket	2.53	$401	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Michel Hopp

Spread

1.5pp

polymarket at 60.5% vs kalshi at 59.0%

Expected Value

+2.54%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.69) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $4.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $325
24h Volume: $325
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $325

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 22, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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