TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kayseri: Doga Turkmen vs Selina Atay

Other · June 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Doga Turkmen

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.60	62.5%	$0.63	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.59	63.0%	$0.63	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.63

Odds

1.60

Implied

62.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.63

Odds

1.59

Implied

63.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Doga Turkmen

Best: 63.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

63.0%

Selina Atay

Best: 37.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

35.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Doga Turkmen

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.625

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.677 avg

+2.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.658

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.681

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.802 avg

+21.83% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.658

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $478

Doga Turkmen (polymarket, $638) — slippage 2.8% — eats into edge

Selina Atay (kalshi, $362) — slippage 32.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $173

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Doga Turkmenthin	polymarket	1.60	$638	$1020
Selina Ataythin	kalshi	2.82	$362	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Doga Turkmen

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 63.0% vs polymarket at 62.5%

Expected Value

+0.80%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.60) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $3.0K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $150
24h Volume: $150
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $150

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jul 7, 2026, 11:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 14, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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