TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 25s ago

ITF Kayseri: Leilany Ipunesso vs Amelie Smejkalova

Other · July 2, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Leilany Ipunesso

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	6.06	16.5%	$0.17	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.26	19.0%	$0.19	+2.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.17

Odds

6.06

Implied

16.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.19

Odds

5.26

Implied

19.0%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Leilany Ipunesso

Best: 19.0% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.0%

16.5%

Amelie Smejkalova

Best: 83.5% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

81.0%

83.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Leilany Ipunesso

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.165

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.550 avg

+3.75% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.530

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.649

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.825 avg

+27.03% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.649

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $327

Leilany Ipunesso (kalshi, $169) — slippage 146.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $55

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Leilany Ipunessothin	kalshi	6.06	$169	$1026
Amelie Smejkalovathin	polymarket	1.24	$831	$1026

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Leilany Ipunesso

Spread

2.5pp

polymarket at 19.0% vs kalshi at 16.5%

Expected Value

+15.15%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (6.06) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $8
24h Volume: $8
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: $8

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 9, 2026, 8:30 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 16, 2026, 8:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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