TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 20s ago

ITF Kayseri: Matvey Greschner vs Ammar Faleh Alhogbani

Other · June 17, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Matvey Greschner

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	16.67	6.0%	$0.06	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	15.38	6.5%	$0.07	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.06

Odds

16.67

Implied

6.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.07

Odds

15.38

Implied

6.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Matvey Greschner

Best: 6.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

6.5%

6.0%

Ammar Faleh Alhogbani

Best: 94.5% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

93.5%

94.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Matvey Greschner

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.060

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.565 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.565

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.834 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.834

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $426

Matvey Greschner (kalshi, $60) — slippage 611.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $26

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Matvey Greschnerthin	kalshi	16.67	$60	$1005
Ammar Faleh Alhogbanithin	polymarket	1.07	$940	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Matvey Greschner

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 6.5% vs kalshi at 6.0%

Expected Value

+8.33%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (16.67) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.5%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $79
24h Volume: $79
Liquidity: $197
Open Interest: $49

Resolves: in 7d 1h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $59
24h Volume: $59
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $59

Resolves: in 14d 1h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 1h · Jun 24, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 1h · Jul 1, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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