TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 31s ago

ITF Kayseri: Maxim Shin vs Cagan Efe Tufekci

Other · June 30, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Maxim Shin

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.43	70.0%	$0.70	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.35	74.0%	$0.74	+4.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.70

Odds

1.43

Implied

70.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.74

Odds

1.35

Implied

74.0%

Edge

+4.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Maxim Shin

Best: 74.0% on kalshi

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

70.0%

74.0%

Cagan Efe Tufekci

Best: 30.0% on polymarket

▲+5.0%

Prediction market is 5.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

30.0%

25.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Maxim Shin

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.700

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.777 avg

+7.04% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.726

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.787

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.859 avg

+18.38% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.726

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+5.26%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $194

Maxim Shin (polymarket, $737) — slippage 2.2% — eats into edge

Cagan Efe Tufekci (kalshi, $263) — slippage 72.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $51

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Maxim Shinthin	polymarket	1.43	$737	$1053
Cagan Efe Tufekcithin	kalshi	4.00	$263	$1053

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Maxim Shin

Spread

4.0pp

kalshi at 74.0% vs polymarket at 70.0%

Expected Value

+5.71%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.43) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

13.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $2.4K
Open Interest: $3

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $25
24h Volume: $25
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $25

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 7, 2026, 9:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 14, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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