TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kayseri: Nicolas Tepmahc vs Ammar Faleh Alhogbani

Other · June 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Nicolas Tepmahc

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.27	78.5%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.24	80.5%	$0.81	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

78.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.81

Odds

1.24

Implied

80.5%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Nicolas Tepmahc

Best: 80.5% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.5%

78.5%

Ammar Faleh Alhogbani

Best: 19.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.5%

18.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Nicolas Tepmahc

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.785

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.909 avg

+10.50% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.823

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.927

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.957 avg

+16.30% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.823

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+3.63%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nicolas Tepmahc (kalshi, $814) — slippage 8.8% — eats into edge

Ammar Faleh Alhogbani (kalshi, $187) — slippage 278.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $50

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Nicolas Tepmahcthin	kalshi	1.27	$814	$1036
Ammar Faleh Alhogbanithin	kalshi	5.56	$187	$1036

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Nicolas Tepmahc

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 80.5% vs kalshi at 78.5%

Expected Value

+2.55%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.27) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.3%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $78
24h Volume: $78
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: $78

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $50
24h Volume: $50
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $50

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jun 26, 2026, 9:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 3, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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