TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 2m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ariana Geerlings vs Nina Radovanovic

Other · July 26, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Ariana Geerlings

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.90	52.5%	$0.53	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.87	53.5%	$0.54	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.53

Odds

1.90

Implied

52.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.54

Odds

1.87

Implied

53.5%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Ariana Geerlings

Best: 53.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

53.5%

52.5%

Nina Radovanovic

Best: 46.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

46.5%

46.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Ariana Geerlings

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.525

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.573 avg

+1.87% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.563

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.584

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.709 avg

+21.43% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.584

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Nina Radovanovic (kalshi, $467) — slippage 4.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Ariana Geerlingsthin	kalshi	1.91	$533	$1015
Nina Radovanovicthin	kalshi	2.17	$467	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Ariana Geerlings

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 53.5% vs kalshi at 52.5%

Expected Value

+1.90%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.90) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.1%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $13
24h Volume: $13
Liquidity: $8.4K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $900
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $900

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Aug 2, 2026, 7:35 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Aug 9, 2026, 7:30 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

Related Events

Tennis

▲+27.0%

The Memphis Classic, Qualification: Kennedy Drenser-Hagmann vs Bella Payne

Vol: $118K

Tennis

▲+23.5%

ITF Huamantla: Alvin Nicholas Tudorica vs Mwendwa Mbithi

Vol: $1.0M

Tennis

▲+7.5%

ITF Saskatoon: Jia-Jing Lu vs Teah Chavez

Vol: $1.8M

Tennis

▲+6.5%

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Lea Ma vs Alana Smith

18+ only. Gambling involves risk. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-522-4700. OddsBridge does not accept bets -- we provide odds comparison and informational content only. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Odds and prices shown may not reflect the most current values. Always verify prices on the platform before placing a bet or trade.