TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Elza Tomase vs Adithya Karunaratne

Other · July 12, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.0000

Platform Prices — Elza Tomase

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	2.25	44.5%	$0.44	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.22	45.0%	$0.45	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.44

Odds

2.25

Implied

44.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.45

Odds

2.22

Implied

45.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Elza Tomase

Best: 45.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

45.0%

44.5%

Adithya Karunaratne

Best: 55.5% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

55.0%

55.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Elza Tomase

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.445

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.521 avg

+0.31% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.520

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.529

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.778 avg

+47.07% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.529

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Adithya Karunaratne (polymarket, $553) — slippage 3.4% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Elza Tomasethin	kalshi	2.25	$447	$1005
Adithya Karunaratnethin	polymarket	1.82	$553	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Elza Tomase

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 45.0% vs kalshi at 44.5%

Expected Value

+1.12%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (2.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.9%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $3
24h Volume: $3
Liquidity: $8.6K
Open Interest: $2

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $9
24h Volume: $9
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $9

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 19, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 26, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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