TennisUPCOMING

Stale· updated 3m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Lucia Llinares Domingo vs Aurora Corvi

Other · July 28, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Lucia Llinares Domingo

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	2.67	37.5%	$0.38	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	2.44	41.0%	$0.41	+3.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.38

Odds

2.67

Implied

37.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.41

Odds

2.44

Implied

41.0%

Edge

+3.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lucia Llinares Domingo

Best: 41.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

37.5%

41.0%

Aurora Corvi

Best: 62.5% on polymarket

▲+4.0%

Prediction market is 4.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

62.5%

58.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lucia Llinares Domingo

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.375

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.522 avg

+15.86% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.451

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.594

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.718 avg

+20.97% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.594

Arbitrage Opportunity

+4.17%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Lucia Llinares Domingo (polymarket, $391) — slippage 5.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lucia Llinares Domingothin	polymarket	2.67	$391	$1042
Aurora Corvithin	kalshi	1.71	$609	$1041

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lucia Llinares Domingo

Spread

3.5pp

kalshi at 41.0% vs polymarket at 37.5%

Expected Value

+9.33%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (2.67) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $371
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $282
24h Volume: $282
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $282

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Aug 4, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Aug 11, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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