TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Marko Bekeni vs Semen Pankin

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Marko Bekeni

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	4.76	21.0%	$0.21	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	4.26	23.5%	$0.24	+2.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.21

Odds

4.76

Implied

21.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.24

Odds

4.26

Implied

23.5%

Edge

+2.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Marko Bekeni

Best: 23.5% on polymarket

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

23.5%

21.0%

Semen Pankin

Best: 78.0% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

76.5%

78.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Marko Bekeni

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.210

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.744 avg

+52.53% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.488

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.795

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.871 avg

+78.58% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.488

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.56%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $353

Marko Bekeni (kalshi, $215) — slippage 119.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $76

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Marko Bekenithin	kalshi	4.76	$215	$1026
Semen Pankinthin	polymarket	1.31	$785	$1025

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Marko Bekeni

Spread

2.5pp

polymarket at 23.5% vs kalshi at 21.0%

Expected Value

+11.90%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (4.76) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

3.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $66
24h Volume: $66
Liquidity: $2.8K
Open Interest: $66

Resolves: in 7d 9h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $31
24h Volume: $31
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $31

Resolves: in 14d 9h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 9h · Jul 15, 2026, 11:05 AM
kalshiin 14d 9h · Jul 22, 2026, 11:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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