TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 52s ago

ITF Lodz: Jan Chlodnicki vs Alan Bojarski

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Jan Chlodnicki

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	3.57	28.0%	$0.28	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	2.90	34.5%	$0.35	+6.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.28

Odds

3.57

Implied

28.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.35

Odds

2.90

Implied

34.5%

Edge

+6.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Jan Chlodnicki

Best: 34.5% on polymarket

▲+6.5%

Prediction market is 6.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

34.5%

28.0%

Alan Bojarski

Best: 70.0% on kalshi

▲+4.5%

Prediction market is 4.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

65.5%

70.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Jan Chlodnicki

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.280

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.807 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.807

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.875 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.875

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+6.95%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Jan Chlodnicki (kalshi, $300) — slippage 109.6% > 10% cap — fillable up to $8

Alan Bojarski (polymarket, $701) — slippage 3.0% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Jan Chlodnickithin	kalshi	3.57	$300	$1070
Alan Bojarskithin	polymarket	1.53	$701	$1070

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Jan Chlodnicki

Spread

6.5pp

polymarket at 34.5% vs kalshi at 28.0%

Expected Value

+23.21%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.57) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

9.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.8K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $680
24h Volume: $680
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $680

Resolves: in 14d 7h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jul 15, 2026, 10:15 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 22, 2026, 9:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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