TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 43s ago

ITF Lodz: Lorenzo Balducci vs Antoni Kasperski

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Lorenzo Balducci

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.25	80.0%	$0.80	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.23	81.0%	$0.81	+1.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.80

Odds

1.25

Implied

80.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.81

Odds

1.23

Implied

81.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Lorenzo Balducci

Best: 81.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

81.0%

80.0%

Antoni Kasperski

Best: 19.0% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

19.0%

18.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Lorenzo Balducci

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.800

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.857 avg

+2.42% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.837

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.861

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.949 avg

+13.44% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.837

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $338

Antoni Kasperski (kalshi, $188) — slippage 229.1% > 10% cap — fillable up to $63

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Lorenzo Balduccithin	kalshi	1.25	$812	$1015
Antoni Kasperskithin	kalshi	5.41	$188	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Lorenzo Balducci

Spread

1.0pp

polymarket at 81.0% vs kalshi at 80.0%

Expected Value

+1.25%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.25) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

5.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $847
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 15, 2026, 8:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 22, 2026, 8:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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