TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 34s ago

ITF Lodz: Vladyslav Orlov vs Jakub Vrtilka

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Vladyslav Orlov

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.09	92.0%	$0.92	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.07	93.5%	$0.94	+1.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.92

Odds

1.09

Implied

92.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.94

Odds

1.07

Implied

93.5%

Edge

+1.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Vladyslav Orlov

Best: 93.5% on kalshi

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

92.0%

93.5%

Jakub Vrtilka

Best: 8.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

8.0%

6.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Vladyslav Orlov

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.920

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.974 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.974

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.982 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.982

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $224

Vladyslav Orlov (polymarket, $939) — not enough depth at $939 — fillable up to $335

Jakub Vrtilka (kalshi, $61) — slippage 613.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $14

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Vladyslav Orlovthin	polymarket	1.09	$939	$1020
Jakub Vrtilkathin	kalshi	16.67	$61	$1020

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Vladyslav Orlov

Spread

1.5pp

kalshi at 93.5% vs polymarket at 92.0%

Expected Value

+1.63%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.09) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

18.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $154
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 10h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 10h · Jul 15, 2026, 12:15 PM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 22, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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