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ITF Los Angeles: Tia Messerli vs Monika Ekstrand

Other · June 11, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Tia Messerli

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	8.33	12.0%	$0.12	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	8.33	12.0%	$0.12	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.12

Odds

8.33

Implied

12.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.12

Odds

8.33

Implied

12.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tia Messerli

Best: 12.0% on kalshi

▼0.0%

Prices are roughly equal across platforms.

12.0%

Monika Ekstrand

Best: 89.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

88.0%

89.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tia Messerli

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.120

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.654 avg

+44.95% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.451

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.857

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.767 avg

+2.41% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.749

polymarket

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.00%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $548

Tia Messerli (polymarket, $120) — slippage 318.0% > 10% cap — fillable up to $66

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tia Messerlithin	polymarket	8.33	$120	$1000
Monika Ekstrandthin	polymarket	1.14	$880	$1000

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tia Messerli

Spread

0.0pp

kalshi at 12.0% vs polymarket at 12.0%

Expected Value

0.00%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (8.33) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.0%

EV is negative or marginal — Kelly says skip.

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $134
24h Volume: $134
Liquidity: $1.1K
Open Interest: $134

Resolves: in 7d 5h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $326
24h Volume: $326
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $309

Resolves: in 14d 5h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 5h · Jun 18, 2026, 6:00 PM
kalshiin 14d 5h · Jun 25, 2026, 6:00 PM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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