TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Lourinha: Thijs Boogaard vs Carl Emil Overbeck

Other · June 19, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Thijs Boogaard

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.68	59.5%	$0.60	---	Bet Here
KalshiBest	1.67	60.0%	$0.60	+0.5pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.60

Odds

1.68

Implied

59.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.60

Odds

1.67

Implied

60.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Thijs Boogaard

Best: 60.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

59.5%

60.0%

Carl Emil Overbeck

Best: 40.5% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

40.5%

39.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Thijs Boogaard

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.595

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.740 avg

+15.05% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.643

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.759

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.853 avg

+32.57% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.643

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $226

Thijs Boogaard (polymarket, $601) — slippage 5.4% — eats into edge

Carl Emil Overbeck (kalshi, $399) — slippage 15.4% > 10% cap — fillable up to $198

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Thijs Boogaardthin	polymarket	1.68	$601	$1010
Carl Emil Overbeckthin	kalshi	2.53	$399	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Thijs Boogaard

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 60.0% vs polymarket at 59.5%

Expected Value

+0.84%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.68) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $2.7K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 8h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 8h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 8h · Jun 26, 2026, 10:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 8h · Jul 3, 2026, 10:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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