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Live· updated 57s ago

ITF Luan: Alina Tikhonova vs JiaYi Wang

Other · May 16, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

Platform Prices — Alina Tikhonova

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.96	51.0%	$0.51	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	1.94	51.5%	$0.52	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.51

Odds

1.96

Implied

51.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.52

Odds

1.94

Implied

51.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Alina Tikhonova

Best: 51.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.0%

51.5%

JiaYi Wang

Best: 51.0% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

51.0%

48.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Alina Tikhonova

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.510

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.631 avg

+7.70% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.585

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.676

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$50.0K@ 0.725 avg

+23.86% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$25.0K @ 0.585

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Stake split for $1,000 bankroll

Alina Tikhonova (kalshi, $513) — slippage 5.2% — eats into edge

JiaYi Wang (polymarket, $487) — slippage 27.9% > 10% cap

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Alina Tikhonovathin	kalshi	1.96	$513	$1005
JiaYi Wangthin	polymarket	2.06	$487	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Alina Tikhonova

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 51.5% vs kalshi at 51.0%

Expected Value

+0.98%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (1.96) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

1.0%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Liquidity: $1.9K
Open Interest: —

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · May 24, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · May 31, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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