TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 30s ago

ITF Luan: Xiang Liu vs Alexandra Malova

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000

Platform Prices — Xiang Liu

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	3.51	28.5%	$0.28	+0.5pp	Bet Here
KalshiBest	3.57	28.0%	$0.28	---	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.28

Odds

3.51

Implied

28.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.28

Odds

3.57

Implied

28.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Xiang Liu

Best: 28.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

28.5%

28.0%

Alexandra Malova

Best: 72.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

71.5%

72.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Xiang Liu

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.280

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.378 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.378

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.709 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.709

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $364

Xiang Liu (kalshi, $281) — slippage 8.2% — eats into edge

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Xiang Liuthin	kalshi	3.57	$281	$1005
Alexandra Malovathin	polymarket	1.40	$719	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Xiang Liu

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 28.5% vs kalshi at 28.0%

Expected Value

+1.79%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (3.57) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.7%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $34
24h Volume: $34
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: $34

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $793
24h Volume: $793
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $750

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jul 15, 2026, 5:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jul 22, 2026, 5:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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