TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 51s ago

ITF Luan: Xiaowei Li vs Ikumi Yamazaki

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000

Platform Prices — Xiaowei Li

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	11.11	9.0%	$0.09	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	9.09	11.0%	$0.11	+2.0pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.09

Odds

11.11

Implied

9.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.11

Odds

9.09

Implied

11.0%

Edge

+2.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Xiaowei Li

Best: 11.0% on polymarket

▲+2.0%

Prediction market is 2.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

11.0%

9.0%

Ikumi Yamazaki

Best: 91.5% on kalshi

▲+2.5%

Prediction market is 2.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

89.0%

91.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Xiaowei Li

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.090

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.333 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.333

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.667 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.667

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+2.04%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $242

Xiaowei Li (kalshi, $92) — slippage 39.3% > 10% cap — fillable up to $22

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Xiaowei Lithin	kalshi	11.11	$92	$1020
Ikumi Yamazakithin	polymarket	1.12	$908	$1021

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Xiaowei Li

Spread

2.0pp

polymarket at 11.0% vs kalshi at 9.0%

Expected Value

+22.22%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (11.11) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $31
24h Volume: $31
Liquidity: $1.3K
Open Interest: $31

Resolves: in 7d 3h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $315
24h Volume: $305
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $315

Resolves: in 14d 3h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 3h · Jul 15, 2026, 5:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 3h · Jul 22, 2026, 5:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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