TennisUPCOMING

Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Luan: Xinyi Nong vs Chengyiyi Yuan

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00000000000000

Platform Prices — Xinyi Nong

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	5.88	17.0%	$0.17	---	Bet Here
Polymarket	5.71	17.5%	$0.18	+0.5pp	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.17

Odds

5.88

Implied

17.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Polymarket

$0.18

Odds

5.71

Implied

17.5%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Xinyi Nong

Best: 17.5% on polymarket

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

17.5%

17.0%

Chengyiyi Yuan

Best: 86.0% on kalshi

▲+3.5%

Prediction market is 3.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

82.5%

86.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Xinyi Nong

cheapest single venue: kalshi at 0.170

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$5.0K@ 0.482 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.482

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$25.0K@ 0.687 avg

+0.00% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$25.0K @ 0.687

Algo-trader tier — combines order-book depth and per-book stake limits at $25k each.

Whale tier (max known capacity)

Arbitrage Opportunity

+0.50%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $279

Xinyi Nong (kalshi, $171) — slippage 109.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $48

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Xinyi Nongthin	kalshi	5.88	$171	$1005
Chengyiyi Yuanthin	polymarket	1.21	$829	$1005

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Xinyi Nong

Spread

0.5pp

polymarket at 17.5% vs kalshi at 17.0%

Expected Value

+2.94%

Per $1 staked at kalshi (5.88) if polymarket's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

0.6%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $98
24h Volume: $98
Liquidity: $1.7K
Open Interest: $98

Resolves: in 7d 2h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $194
24h Volume: $194
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $194

Resolves: in 14d 2h

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 2h · Jul 15, 2026, 4:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 2h · Jul 22, 2026, 4:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Polymarket Trade on Kalshi

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