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Live· updated 1m ago

ITF Luan: Yingqun Sun vs Maralgoo Chogsomjav

Other · July 8, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.000000000000000

Platform Prices — Yingqun Sun

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
KalshiBest	1.28	78.0%	$0.78	+0.5pp	Bet Here
PolymarketBest	1.29	77.5%	$0.78	---	Bet Here

KalshiBest

$0.78

Odds

1.28

Implied

78.0%

Edge

+0.5pp

Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.78

Odds

1.29

Implied

77.5%

Edge

---

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Yingqun Sun

Best: 78.0% on kalshi

▲+0.5%

Prediction market is 0.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

78.0%

77.5%

Maralgoo Chogsomjav

Best: 22.5% on polymarket

▲+1.5%

Prediction market is 1.5% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

21.0%

22.5%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Yingqun Sun

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.775

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$10.0K@ 0.813 avg

+1.59% vs cheapest single venue

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.800

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.825

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$30.0K@ 0.834 avg

+1.06% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$5.0K @ 0.825

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.52%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $317

Maralgoo Chogsomjav (kalshi, $213) — slippage 22.8% > 10% cap — fillable up to $68

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Yingqun Sunthin	polymarket	1.29	$787	$1015
Maralgoo Chogsomjavthin	kalshi	4.76	$213	$1015

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Yingqun Sun

Spread

0.5pp

kalshi at 78.0% vs polymarket at 77.5%

Expected Value

+0.65%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.29) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

2.2%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 6h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $43
24h Volume: $43
Liquidity: $2.3K
Open Interest: $43

Resolves: in 7d 6h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 6h · Jul 16, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 6h · Jul 23, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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