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ITF Maanshan: Tiana Tian Deng vs Jing-Jing Lu

Other · June 24, 2026

Best Price

$0.00

Worst Price

$0.00

Max Gap

0.0%

Total Volume

$0.00

Platform Prices — Tiana Tian Deng

Platform	Decimal Odds	Implied %	Price▲	Edge vs Best	Action
PolymarketBest	1.27	79.0%	$0.79	---	Bet Here
Kalshi	1.25	80.0%	$0.80	+1.0pp	Bet Here

PolymarketBest

$0.79

Odds

1.27

Implied

79.0%

Edge

---

Bet Here

Kalshi

$0.80

Odds

1.25

Implied

80.0%

Edge

+1.0pp

Bet Here

All Outcomes

Tiana Tian Deng

Best: 80.0% on kalshi

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

80.0%

79.0%

Jing-Jing Lu

Best: 21.0% on polymarket

▲+1.0%

Prediction market is 1.0% cheaper than sportsbooks. Consider buying on PM.

20.0%

21.0%

Aggregate liquidity

across every venue · the only place this number exists

For each outcome, the total fillable capacity if you split across every venue (Polymarket order-book depth + Kalshi order-book depth + Pinnacle / Bet365 / DraftKings stake limits). A whale can't deploy $50k on Polymarket alone without moving the price — but the same $50k splits cleanly across 4 venues at a much tighter aggregate fill price. That's what this panel shows.

Tiana Tian Deng

cheapest single venue: polymarket at 0.790

Retail tier ($5k/venue)

$6.0K@ 0.828 avg

+1.21% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.818

kalshi$5.0K @ 0.830

What you can deploy retail-sized across every venue without moving a single market.

Sharp tier ($25k/venue)

$26.0K@ 0.863 avg

+5.41% vs cheapest single venue

polymarket$1.0K @ 0.818

kalshi

Arbitrage Opportunity

+1.01%theoretical onlyPAPER

Fillable up to $287

Tiana Tian Deng (polymarket, $798) — slippage 2.3% — eats into edge

Jing-Jing Lu (kalshi, $202) — slippage 14.9% > 10% cap — fillable up to $58

Outcome	Platform	Odds	Stake	To win
Tiana Tian Dengthin	polymarket	1.27	$798	$1010
Jing-Jing Luthin	kalshi	5.00	$202	$1010

Stake the listed amount on each outcome at the matching platform. Whichever outcome wins, the payout covers the full bankroll plus the margin shown. Verify prices before placing — odds drift quickly.

Cross-Platform Edge — Tiana Tian Deng

Spread

1.0pp

kalshi at 80.0% vs polymarket at 79.0%

Expected Value

+1.27%

Per $1 staked at polymarket (1.27) if kalshi's price is fair.

Kelly Stake

4.8%

Recommended bankroll fraction (capped at quarter Kelly).

Platform Activity

kalshi

updated just now

Volume: $0
24h Volume: $0
Liquidity: $0
Open Interest: $0

Resolves: in 14d 7h

polymarket

updated just now

Volume: $1
24h Volume: $1
Liquidity: $259
Open Interest: $1

Resolves: in 7d 7h

Source: https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/

Settlement Timeline

polymarketin 7d 7h · Jul 2, 2026, 2:00 AM
kalshiin 14d 7h · Jul 9, 2026, 2:00 AM

Capital on each platform stays locked until that market settles. When platforms resolve at different times the earlier one frees up bankroll for the next opportunity.

Price History

Illustrative preview · historical tracking coming soon

Trade This Market

Trade on Kalshi Trade on Polymarket

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